Guessing the Brewers’ Arby Outcomes
Doug Melvin has never had to go to an arbitration meeting in his tenure as General Manager, and hopefully that trend continues this year. He won’t have to worry about working out a deal with Scott Boras for Prince Fielder this offseason, thanks to the two-year deal he got Fielder to sign last winter that locked in his 2010 salary. He will, however, have to deal with a couple of players that underachieved last season but will still be looking for raises anyway — here’s looking at you, Dave Bush and Corey Hart. Below is a table listing this year’s arby-eligible players and what they made last season, according to Cot’s Baseball Contracts.
So, what should these players make in 2010? In the link above, McCalvy says that the Brewers are planning to spend somewhere between $17 and $18 million on these players this winter. Villanueva and Gomez are in line for significant raises despite below-average performance last year just because they’re entering their first year of arby — they won’t be making the minimum again. Given Coffey’s performance last season, it seems to be a lock that he’ll make more than $1 million next year. Weeks can expect a reasonable raise, despite missing most of the year due to injury. As I noted earlier, the headaches start with Bush and Hart — pay cuts are almost unheard of when it comes to arbitration, so it seems likely that both will at least get small raises.
With that said, here are my guesses on what they’ll end up making (not necessarily what the team will offer):
To me, these seem like reasonable raises and represent a decent compromise between what the two sides will likely be looking for. Thoughts?